Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.246714 3.603962 3.990964 4.442447 4.956070 5.523791 6.200976
2025-05-11 2.743662 3.225049 3.783463 4.483323 5.342878 6.371655 7.707500
2025-05-18 2.420351 2.966339 3.632428 4.513451 5.661006 7.122940 9.155303
2025-05-25 2.122562 2.685597 3.399622 4.384631 5.728873 7.529866 10.178324
2025-06-01 1.920803 2.497003 3.252334 4.332977 5.869306 8.022052 11.353023
2025-06-08 1.765545 2.350135 3.139105 4.305016 6.024676 8.534782 12.605915
2025-06-15 1.691821 2.304492 3.155265 4.453401 6.439812 9.461684 14.605783
2025-06-22 1.579591 2.193286 3.066036 4.434184 6.594436 10.000131 16.048354
2025-06-29 1.474636 2.083057 2.967067 4.387270 6.695045 10.455389 17.403714
2025-07-06 1.337313 1.914662 2.767779 4.165193 6.488505 10.375976 17.794748
2025-07-13 1.274610 1.853420 2.725528 4.186682 6.682089 10.990738 19.536956
2025-07-20 1.231896 1.819183 2.721464 4.267923 6.981944 11.821218 21.811892
2025-07-27 1.189297 1.783602 2.714685 4.347595 7.294004 12.724419 24.413038
2025-08-03 1.142722 1.738522 2.689116 4.392608 7.548235 13.551202 27.004717
2025-08-10 1.097310 1.692050 2.657368 4.422969 7.776737 14.354062 29.686988
2025-08-17 1.027468 1.600954 2.544261 4.297379 7.693791 14.517675 30.935678
2025-08-24 0.976723 1.538566 2.475724 4.246975 7.751063 14.975372 32.959168
2025-08-31 0.933856 1.486903 2.422195 4.219679 7.850687 15.533535 35.332665
2025-09-07 0.921407 1.486412 2.458184 4.364559 8.316504 16.954291 40.211579
2025-09-14 0.884790 1.441684 2.411966 4.345798 8.435959 17.605771 43.167351
2025-09-21 0.846804 1.392455 2.354476 4.299994 8.492071 18.115583 45.833514
2025-09-28 0.787444 1.302279 2.216741 4.083141 8.152321 17.635556 45.528597
2025-10-05 0.764252 1.276042 2.196449 4.104127 8.346519 18.489153 49.410906